Value bet: Tigres de Alica to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCimarrones to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones preview and prediction
The match
Cimarrones travel to Estadio Arena Cora in the Liga Premier Serie A on Sunday 22 February (01:00 WAT) to face Tigres de Alica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Tigres de Alica and 1.4 for Cimarrones. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres de Alica 38%, draw 23%, Cimarrones 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Tigres de Alica to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tigres de Alica 1–1 Cimarrones. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres de Alica38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Cimarrones39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
2.75Expected goals
1.35Tigres de Alica xG
1.40Cimarrones xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 1.4 – 1.4 Cimarrones expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cimarrones to win✗
39%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cimarrones / FT Cimarrones✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Tigres de Alica
No recent results on record.
Cimarrones – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Tritons Vallarta
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres de Alica and Cimarrones.
What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?
On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cimarrones 39%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?
Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 1–1 Cimarrones, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones?
Tigres de Alica vs Cimarrones (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arena Cora.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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