Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 20 Feb 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultTzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win ✓66% · @1.67

Double chanceTzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw ✓88% · @1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm preview and prediction

The match

The Liga Alef sees Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed take on Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT). Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed are 14th with 17 points from 21 games (in the bottom three), while Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and 1.8 for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 12%, draw 22%, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 66%.
Safer route: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed12%fair 8.45 · @4.20

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm66%fair 1.51 · @1.67

2.38Expected goals

0.59Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed xG

1.79Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG

47%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–117%

0–215%

1–110%

0–09%

0–39%

1–29%

From our goals model: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0.6 – 1.8 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win ✓	66%	1.51	1.67 ▲
Double chance	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.15
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.90	1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Half-time result	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm / FT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm ✗	42%	2.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	17%	6.05	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win ✓

66%

1.51

1.67 ▲

Double chance

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw ✓

88%

1.13

1.15

Both teams to score

Not both teams to score ✗

53%

1.90

1.85

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

69%

1.46

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

57%

1.74

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

78%

1.28

–

Half-time result

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm ahead at half-time ✗

46%

2.19

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm / FT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm ✗

42%

2.39

–

Correct score

Correct score 0–1 ✗

17%

6.05

–

Form

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.

Liga Alef table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our pick is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

On our numbers Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 66%.

How many goals will there be in Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Our predicted score is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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