Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth preview and prediction
The match
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth travel to face Ironi Baka El Garbiya in the Liga Alef on Friday 20 February (11:40 WAT). Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 1st on 48 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya and 1.5 for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ironi Baka El Garbiya34%fair 2.92 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
2.83Expected goals
1.30Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG
1.54Maccabi Ahi Nazareth xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.3 – 1.5 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth to win✓
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Ahi Nazareth / FT Maccabi Ahi Nazareth✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.07
–
Form
Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ironi Baka El Garbiya and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1–1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 11:40 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nordia Jerusalem1
FC Jerusalem2
Maccabi Kiryat Gat1
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon1
Maccabi Yavne1
Holon Yermiyahu1
Hapoel Herzliya1
Hapoel Marmorek1
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1
Beitar Yavne0
Maccabi Ashdod
Hapoel Azor