Serie D Girone I · Italy · Stadio Luigi Razza
Vibonese vs Acireale prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Acireale to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vibonese 1.3 – 1.2 Acireale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Vibonese and Acireale on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 36% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Vibonese have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Acireale have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Vibonese, 1.2 for Acireale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.31. For a bigger price, Acireale to win at 3.10 is our value angle (36% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vibonese to win ✓ | 40% | 2.51 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese ✗ | 22% | 4.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 11% | 9.21 | – |
Form
Vibonese – last 6
| 26 Apr | @ Gela | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | @ Igea Virtus | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs AC Palermo | 2–3 | L |
| 2 Apr | vs Sancataldese | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | @ Vigor Lamezia | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Messina | 0–0 | D |
Acireale – last 6
| 26 Apr | vs Ragusa | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Gelbison | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Apr | @ CastrumFavara | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | vs Sambiase | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Mar | vs Enna | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | vs Milazzo | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vibonese and Acireale.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hub
Savoia3
Sancataldese0
Messina1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vibonese vs Acireale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vibonese vs Acireale?
On our numbers Vibonese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Acireale 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vibonese vs Acireale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Vibonese vs Acireale?
Vibonese vs Acireale (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Razza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.