Serie D Girone I · Italy · Stadio Oreste GranilloReggina vs Sambiase prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Reggina 1.5 – 0.7 Sambiase expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Reggina hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Sambiase.
Reggina have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Sambiase have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.5 for Reggina, 0.7 for Sambiase). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (13%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Reggina to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Reggina or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Reggina / FT Reggina ✓ | 34% | 2.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.68 | – |
Form
Reggina – last 6
| 26 Apr | @ Milazzo | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | vs Paternò | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | vs Enna | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ AC Palermo | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Mar | @ Igea Virtus | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | @ Vigor Lamezia | 0–2 | L |
Sambiase – last 6
| 26 Apr | vs Nissa | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | @ Milazzo | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Apr | vs Paternò | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | @ Acireale | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Gela | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | @ Sancataldese | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Reggina and Sambiase.
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hub
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Sancataldese0
Acireale0
Messina1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Reggina vs Sambiase?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Reggina vs Sambiase?
On our numbers Reggina have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sambiase 19%.
How many goals will there be in Reggina vs Sambiase?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Reggina vs Sambiase?
Reggina vs Sambiase (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Oreste Granillo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.