Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSavoia to win ✓61% · @1.60
Double chanceSavoia or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Savoia vs Messina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Savoia take on Messina on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alfredo Giraud.
Form guide
Savoia's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Ragusa 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Messina's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Gelbison 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Savoia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Savoia and 0.7 for Messina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Savoia 61%, draw 22%, Messina 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Savoia to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Savoia 1–0 Messina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Savoia61%fair 1.64 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Messina17%fair 5.97 · @5.00
2.35Expected goals
1.65Savoia xG
0.71Messina xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Savoia 1.6 – 0.7 Messina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Savoia to win✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Double chance
Savoia or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Savoia / FT Savoia✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Savoia – last 6
WLDWDW
29 Mar
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Milazzo
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Vibonese
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Nissa
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ CastrumFavara
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Messina – last 6
LDLDLD
29 Mar
vs Gelbison
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Savoia and Messina.
Our pick is Savoia to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Savoia vs Messina?
On our numbers Savoia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Messina 17%.
How many goals will there be in Savoia vs Messina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Savoia vs Messina?
Our predicted score is Savoia 1–0 Messina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Savoia vs Messina?
Savoia vs Messina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alfredo Giraud.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sambiase3
Paternò1
Vibonese0
Sancataldese2