Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSambiase to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceSambiase or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Sambiase vs Paternò preview and prediction
The match
Sambiase host Paternò in the Serie D Girone I on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Form guide
Sambiase's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Acireale 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paternò's last 4: LDLW Most recently they lost to Gela 1–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sambiase arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Sambiase and 0.6 for Paternò. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sambiase 66%, draw 23%, Paternò 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sambiase to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sambiase 1–0 Paternò. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sambiase66%fair 1.52 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.33
Paternò11%fair 8.80 · @7.50
2.48Expected goals
1.85Sambiase xG
0.63Paternò xG
41%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.8 – 0.6 Paternò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sambiase to win✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Double chance
Sambiase or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Sambiase ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.45
–
Form
Sambiase – last 5
WWWWD
29 Mar
@ Acireale
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Gela
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Sancataldese
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Messina
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Igea Virtus
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Paternò – last 4
LDLW
29 Mar
@ Gela
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Enna
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ AC Palermo
2–4
L
15 Feb
vs Sancataldese
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambiase and Paternò.
Our pick is Sambiase to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sambiase vs Paternò?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paternò 11%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Paternò?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambiase vs Paternò?
Our predicted score is Sambiase 1–0 Paternò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sambiase vs Paternò?
Sambiase vs Paternò (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Savoia2
Messina0
Sancataldese2