Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGelbison to win ✓44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Messina vs Gelbison preview and prediction
The match
Gelbison travel to Stadio San Filippo in the Serie D Girone I on Sunday 29 March (14:00 WAT) to face Messina.
Form guide
Messina's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Vibonese 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Gelbison's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Igea Virtus 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gelbison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Messina and 1.2 for Gelbison. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Messina 34%, draw 22%, Gelbison 44%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Messina 0–1 Gelbison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Messina34%fair 2.93 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Gelbison44%fair 2.27 · @2.38
2.20Expected goals
1.00Messina xG
1.20Gelbison xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Messina 1.0 – 1.2 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gelbison to win✓
44%
2.27
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gelbison / FT Gelbison✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Messina – last 5
DLDLD
22 Mar
@ Vibonese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Nissa
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 4
DDWW
22 Mar
vs Igea Virtus
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Savoia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Vibonese
4–0
W
15 Feb
vs Ragusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Messina and Gelbison.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Messina vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Messina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gelbison 44%.
How many goals will there be in Messina vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Messina vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Messina 0–1 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Messina vs Gelbison?
Messina vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Filippo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AC Palermo0
Reggina1
Igea Virtus3
CastrumFavara2
Vigor Lamezia0
Vibonese2
Acireale1
Sambiase2
Savoia2
Ragusa0
Sancataldese1
Nissa5