Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Igea Virtus to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIgea Virtus to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceIgea Virtus or draw ✓90% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Igea Virtus take on CastrumFavara on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres. Igea Virtus are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while CastrumFavara sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Igea Virtus's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Reggina 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
CastrumFavara's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Sancataldese 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
CastrumFavara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Igea Virtus and 0.6 for CastrumFavara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Igea Virtus to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Igea Virtus 1–0 CastrumFavara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Igea Virtus67%fair 1.49 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
CastrumFavara10%fair 9.84 · @4.85
2.40Expected goals
1.83Igea Virtus xG
0.57CastrumFavara xG
41%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Igea Virtus 1.8 – 0.6 CastrumFavara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Igea Virtus to win✓
67%
1.49
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Igea Virtus or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Igea Virtus ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Igea Virtus – last 3
LDD
25 Mar
vs Reggina
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Gelbison
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Sambiase
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CastrumFavara – last 5
WWDLL
22 Mar
vs Sancataldese
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Messina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Ragusa
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Savoia
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Igea Virtus and CastrumFavara.
What is the prediction for Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Our pick is Igea Virtus to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
On our numbers Igea Virtus have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CastrumFavara 10%.
How many goals will there be in Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Our predicted score is Igea Virtus 1–0 CastrumFavara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Messina1
Gelbison2
Acireale1
Savoia2
Sancataldese1