Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVigor Lamezia to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone I sees Vigor Lamezia take on CastrumFavara on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito. Vigor Lamezia are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while CastrumFavara sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CastrumFavara's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Messina 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.4 for Vigor Lamezia and 0.9 for CastrumFavara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Vigor Lamezia 1–0 CastrumFavara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vigor Lamezia50%fair 1.98 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
CastrumFavara27%fair 3.65 · @3.40
2.31Expected goals
1.39Vigor Lamezia xG
0.92CastrumFavara xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.4 – 0.9 CastrumFavara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigor Lamezia to win✗
50%
1.98
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vigor Lamezia / FT Vigor Lamezia✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Vigor Lamezia – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Reggina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nissa
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CastrumFavara – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
vs Messina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Ragusa
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Savoia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and CastrumFavara.
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CastrumFavara 27%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 1–0 CastrumFavara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paternò2
Messina0
Sancataldese0
Savoia1
Gelbison1