Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Città di Fasano to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCittà di Fasano to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Città di Fasano take on Ferrandina on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Form guide
Città di Fasano's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Pompei 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Ferrandina's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Paganese 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Città di Fasano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Città di Fasano and 0.7 for Ferrandina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Città di Fasano 61%, draw 19%, Ferrandina 19%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Città di Fasano to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Città di Fasano 1–0 Ferrandina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Città di Fasano61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Ferrandina19%fair 5.17 · @4.50
2.29Expected goals
1.59Città di Fasano xG
0.71Ferrandina xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Città di Fasano 1.6 – 0.7 Ferrandina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Città di Fasano to win✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Città di Fasano / FT Città di Fasano✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Form
Città di Fasano – last 5
DWWLL
29 Mar
@ Pompei
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Manfredonia
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Francavilla
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Fidelis Andria
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Virtus Francavilla
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Ferrandina – last 6
DLDLLL
29 Mar
vs Paganese
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Real Normanna
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Afragolese
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Martina Franca
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Manfredonia
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Barletta
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Fasano and Ferrandina.
What is the prediction for Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina?
Our pick is Città di Fasano to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina?
On our numbers Città di Fasano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ferrandina 19%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina?
Our predicted score is Città di Fasano 1–0 Ferrandina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina?
Città di Fasano vs Ferrandina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Vito Curlo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Afragolese2
Virtus Francavilla2