Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Virtus Francavilla take on Gravina on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II. Virtus Francavilla are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Gravina sit 4th on 20 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.5 for Virtus Francavilla and 0.9 for Gravina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Virtus Francavilla to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Gravina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Francavilla56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.20
Gravina23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
2.39Expected goals
1.54Virtus Francavilla xG
0.85Gravina xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.5 – 0.9 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Città di Fasano
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Francavilla
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Gravina.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gravina 23%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sarnese1
Paganese1