Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Ascoli host Fossombrone in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Atletico Ascoli are 10th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Fossombrone sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico Ascoli's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Sora 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Fossombrone's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Victor San Marino 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Atletico Ascoli and 0.6 for Fossombrone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Ascoli to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Fossombrone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Ascoli68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @3.80
Fossombrone14%fair 7.34 · @5.00
2.51Expected goals
1.86Atletico Ascoli xG
0.64Fossombrone xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Ascoli 1.9 – 0.6 Fossombrone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Ascoli to win✗
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
Atletico Ascoli or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Atletico Ascoli ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Ascoli / FT Atletico Ascoli✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Atletico Ascoli – last 6
WLWLWD
2 Apr
vs Sora
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Real Giulianova
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Maceratese
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Unipomezia
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Chieti
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Recanatese
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fossombrone – last 6
LWDWDL
2 Apr
@ Victor San Marino
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs L'Aquila
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Termoli Calcio
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Sammaurese
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Ascoli and Fossombrone.
What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Our pick is Atletico Ascoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
On our numbers Atletico Ascoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fossombrone 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Our predicted score is Atletico Ascoli 1–0 Fossombrone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone?
Atletico Ascoli vs Fossombrone (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sammaurese0
Chieti1