Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Ancona vs Sammaurese preview and prediction
The match
Sammaurese travel to Stadio del Conero in the Serie D Girone F on Sunday 19 April (14:00 WAT) to face Ancona.
Form guide
Ancona's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Teramo 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sammaurese's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Termoli Calcio 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ancona arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Ancona and 0.8 for Sammaurese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Ancona 2–1 Sammaurese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ancona68%fair 1.47 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @5.50
Sammaurese17%fair 6.04 · @15.00
2.80Expected goals
2.00Ancona xG
0.80Sammaurese xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Ancona 2.0 – 0.8 Sammaurese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ancona to win✓
68%
1.47
1.17
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Ancona ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ancona / FT Ancona✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.21
–
Form
Ancona – last 6
LWDWWD
2 Apr
vs Teramo
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sora
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Real Giulianova
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Maceratese
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Unipomezia
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sammaurese – last 6
LLLLWL
15 Apr
@ Termoli Calcio
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Ostia Mare
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Notaresco
0–4
L
15 Mar
@ Fossombrone
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teramo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Senigallia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ancona and Sammaurese.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Ancona vs Sammaurese?
On our numbers Ancona have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sammaurese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ancona vs Sammaurese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ancona vs Sammaurese?
Our predicted score is Ancona 2–1 Sammaurese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ancona vs Sammaurese?
Ancona vs Sammaurese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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