Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia prediction & analysis
75%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · Lost ✗
8/10Rating
–Odds
2
Value bet: Vigor Senigallia to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVigor Senigallia to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Termoli Calcio take on Vigor Senigallia on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa. Termoli Calcio are 11th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Vigor Senigallia sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Termoli Calcio and 1.0 for Vigor Senigallia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Termoli Calcio 36%, draw 25%, Vigor Senigallia 39%.
Value angle: Vigor Senigallia to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Termoli Calcio 0–1 Vigor Senigallia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Termoli Calcio36%fair 2.75 · @2.42
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Vigor Senigallia39%fair 2.56 · @2.85
1.94Expected goals
0.94Termoli Calcio xG
1.00Vigor Senigallia xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Termoli Calcio 0.9 – 1.0 Vigor Senigallia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigor Senigallia to win✗
39%
2.56
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Termoli Calcio – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Chieti
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Real Giulianova
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vigor Senigallia – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Sammaurese
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Notaresco
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Termoli Calcio and Vigor Senigallia.
What is the prediction for Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia?
On our numbers Termoli Calcio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vigor Senigallia 39%.
How many goals will there be in Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia?
Our predicted score is Termoli Calcio 0–1 Vigor Senigallia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia?
Termoli Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Unipomezia2
Sammaurese3
Chieti1
Sora3