Value bet: Unipomezia to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnipomezia to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Recanatese vs Unipomezia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone F sees Recanatese take on Unipomezia on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Recanatese and 1.5 for Unipomezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Unipomezia to win at 2.60 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 79% chance. Predicted score: Recanatese 0–1 Unipomezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Recanatese34%fair 2.98 · @2.41
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Unipomezia45%fair 2.20 · @2.60
2.76Expected goals
1.25Recanatese xG
1.51Unipomezia xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.2 – 1.5 Unipomezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Unipomezia to win✓
45%
2.20
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Unipomezia / FT Unipomezia✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Form
Recanatese – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Atletico Ascoli
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Ostia Mare
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Unipomezia – last 2
DW
22 Feb
vs Ancona
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Victor San Marino
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Unipomezia.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 79% chance.
Who will win Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Unipomezia 45%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 0–1 Unipomezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Unipomezia?
Recanatese vs Unipomezia (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sammaurese3
Chieti1
Sora3