Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Either team to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · Won ✓
8/10Rating
–Odds
1
Value bet: Montevarchi Calcio to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTau Altopascio to win ✗39% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio preview and prediction
The match
Montevarchi Calcio host Tau Altopascio in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri. Montevarchi Calcio are 9th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Tau Altopascio sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Montevarchi Calcio's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Scandicci 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tau Altopascio's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Sporting Trestina 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Montevarchi Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Montevarchi Calcio and 1.1 for Tau Altopascio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montevarchi Calcio 36%, draw 24%, Tau Altopascio 39%.
Value angle: Montevarchi Calcio to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Montevarchi Calcio 0–1 Tau Altopascio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montevarchi Calcio36%fair 2.76 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Tau Altopascio39%fair 2.54 · @2.33
2.21Expected goals
1.07Montevarchi Calcio xG
1.14Tau Altopascio xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montevarchi Calcio 1.1 – 1.1 Tau Altopascio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tau Altopascio to win✗
39%
2.54
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tau Altopascio / FT Tau Altopascio✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Montevarchi Calcio – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Camaiore
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Orvietana Calcio
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tau Altopascio – last 3
LDL
1 Mar
vs Sporting Trestina
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Seravezza
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Grosseto
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montevarchi Calcio and Tau Altopascio.
What is the prediction for Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 76% chance.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
On our numbers Montevarchi Calcio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tau Altopascio 39%.
How many goals will there be in Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
Our predicted score is Montevarchi Calcio 0–1 Tau Altopascio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio?
Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poggibonsi2
Sporting Trestina1
Orvietana Calcio1
Foligno Calcio2
Grosseto1