Value bet: Robur Siena to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRobur Siena to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Prato vs Robur Siena preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Prato take on Robur Siena on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Lungobisenzio. Prato are 1st with 25 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Robur Siena sit 2nd on 22 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Robur Siena's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Prato and 1.2 for Robur Siena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Prato 37%, draw 23%, Robur Siena 40%.
Value angle: Robur Siena to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Prato 1–1 Robur Siena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prato37%fair 2.72 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Robur Siena40%fair 2.48 · @2.80
2.39Expected goals
1.16Prato xG
1.23Robur Siena xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Prato 1.2 – 1.2 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Robur Siena to win✗
40%
2.48
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Prato – last 2
WD
22 Feb
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sansepolcro
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Robur Siena – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Sansepolcro
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cannara
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and Robur Siena.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Prato vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Prato have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Robur Siena 40%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Robur Siena?
Prato vs Robur Siena (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Lungobisenzio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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