Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.68 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrato to win ✗62% · @1.68
Double chancePrato or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Sansepolcro vs Prato preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Sansepolcro take on Prato on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Buitoni.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Sansepolcro and 1.7 for Prato. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 41%.
Our pre-match pick was Prato to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sansepolcro 0–1 Prato. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sansepolcro12%fair 8.00 · @4.50
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Prato62%fair 1.60 · @1.68
2.30Expected goals
0.62Sansepolcro xG
1.68Prato xG
41%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sansepolcro 0.6 – 1.7 Prato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✗
62%
1.60
1.68
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.92
–
Form
Sansepolcro
No recent results on record.
Prato
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sansepolcro and Prato.
Our pick is Prato to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Sansepolcro vs Prato?
On our numbers Sansepolcro have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Prato 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sansepolcro vs Prato?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sansepolcro vs Prato?
Our predicted score is Sansepolcro 0–1 Prato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sansepolcro vs Prato?
Sansepolcro vs Prato (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Buitoni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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