Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Grosseto to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrosseto to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.04
Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto preview and prediction
The match
Grosseto travel to Stadio Comunale Altopascio in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 15 February (14:30 WAT) to face Tau Altopascio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Tau Altopascio and 1.9 for Grosseto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tau Altopascio 14%, draw 21%, Grosseto 65%.
Safer route: Grosseto or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Grosseto to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Grosseto or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tau Altopascio 0–1 Grosseto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tau Altopascio14%fair 7.21 · @4.10
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.00
Grosseto65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
2.57Expected goals
0.71Tau Altopascio xG
1.86Grosseto xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tau Altopascio 0.7 – 1.9 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Grosseto ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.04
–
Form
Tau Altopascio
No recent results on record.
Grosseto
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tau Altopascio and Grosseto.
What is the prediction for Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto?
Our pick is Grosseto or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Tau Altopascio have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grosseto 65%.
How many goals will there be in Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Tau Altopascio 0–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto?
Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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