Progresso vs Sangiuliano City prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sangiuliano City to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSangiuliano City to win ✓47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.46
Progresso vs Sangiuliano City preview and prediction
The match
Progresso host Sangiuliano City in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Progresso and 1.3 for Sangiuliano City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Progresso 30%, draw 22%, Sangiuliano City 47%.
Value angle: Sangiuliano City to win at 2.38 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Progresso 0–1 Sangiuliano City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Progresso30%fair 3.29 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Sangiuliano City47%fair 2.12 · @2.38
2.28Expected goals
0.97Progresso xG
1.31Sangiuliano City xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Progresso 1.0 – 1.3 Sangiuliano City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sangiuliano City to win✓
47%
2.12
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sangiuliano City / FT Sangiuliano City✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.46
–
Form
Progresso – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Rovato Vertovese
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sangiuliano City – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Sant'Angelo
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Tuttocuoio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progresso and Sangiuliano City.
What is the prediction for Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
On our numbers Progresso have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sangiuliano City 47%.
How many goals will there be in Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Our predicted score is Progresso 0–1 Sangiuliano City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Progresso vs Sangiuliano City?
Progresso vs Sangiuliano City (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Progresso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coriano1
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Tuttocuoio0
Pro Palazzolo4
Trevigliese1
Rovato Vertovese1
Correggese1
Piacenza3
Sant'Angelo2
Imolese0
Crema0
Cittadella Vis Modena0
Pro Sesto1
Desenzano Calvina2