Value bet: Rovato Vertovese to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRovato Vertovese to win ✗46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Trevigliese take on Rovato Vertovese on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Mario Zanconti.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Trevigliese and 1.3 for Rovato Vertovese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Rovato Vertovese to win at 2.45 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Trevigliese 1–1 Rovato Vertovese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Trevigliese33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Rovato Vertovese46%fair 2.20 · @2.45
2.40Expected goals
1.07Trevigliese xG
1.33Rovato Vertovese xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Trevigliese 1.1 – 1.3 Rovato Vertovese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rovato Vertovese to win✗
46%
2.20
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rovato Vertovese / FT Rovato Vertovese✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Trevigliese – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Imolese
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Rovato Vertovese – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Progresso
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trevigliese and Rovato Vertovese.
What is the prediction for Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese?
On our numbers Trevigliese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rovato Vertovese 46%.
How many goals will there be in Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese?
Our predicted score is Trevigliese 1–1 Rovato Vertovese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese?
Trevigliese vs Rovato Vertovese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Mario Zanconti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coriano1
Sasso Marconi Zola1
Tuttocuoio0
Pro Palazzolo4
Correggese1
Piacenza3
Sant'Angelo2
Imolese0
Crema0
Cittadella Vis Modena0
Progresso0
Sangiuliano City1
Pro Sesto1
Desenzano Calvina2