Value bet: Vigasio to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVigasio to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceVigasio or draw ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Vigasio vs Adriese preview and prediction
The match
Adriese travel to Stadio Comunale di Vigasio in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Vigasio.
Form guide
Vigasio's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Cjarlins Muzane 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Adriese's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Portogruaro 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Vigasio and 0.8 for Adriese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vigasio 57%, draw 22%, Adriese 21%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Vigasio to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vigasio 1–0 Adriese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vigasio57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Adriese21%fair 4.80 · @3.85
2.45Expected goals
1.61Vigasio xG
0.84Adriese xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vigasio 1.6 – 0.8 Adriese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigasio to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Vigasio or draw✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vigasio / FT Vigasio✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.19
–
Form
Vigasio – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
vs Cjarlins Muzane
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Portogruaro
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mestre
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Adriese – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
vs Portogruaro
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Mestre
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ San Luigi
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigasio and Adriese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vigasio vs Adriese?
On our numbers Vigasio have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Adriese 21%.
How many goals will there be in Vigasio vs Adriese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigasio vs Adriese?
Our predicted score is Vigasio 1–0 Adriese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vigasio vs Adriese?
Vigasio vs Adriese (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale di Vigasio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Conegliano1
Calvi Noale0
Mestre0
Campodarsego1
Este1
Bassano Virtus2
Treviso0
Luparense4
FC Obermais1
Clodiense2