Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultConegliano to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chanceConegliano or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.67
Conegliano vs Calvi Noale preview and prediction
The match
Calvi Noale travel to Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan in the Serie D Girone C on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Conegliano. Conegliano are 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Calvi Noale sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Conegliano's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Brian Lignano 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Calvi Noale's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Mestre 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Conegliano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Conegliano and 0.6 for Calvi Noale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 41%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Conegliano to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Conegliano 1–0 Calvi Noale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conegliano66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.60
Calvi Noale15%fair 6.45 · @5.00
2.23Expected goals
1.64Conegliano xG
0.59Calvi Noale xG
41%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Conegliano 1.6 – 0.6 Calvi Noale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conegliano to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Conegliano or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conegliano / FT Conegliano✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.67
–
Form
Conegliano – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
@ Brian Lignano
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Bassano Virtus
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Campodarsego
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Portogruaro
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Calvi Noale – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Mestre
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ FC Obermais
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs San Luigi
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Treviso
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conegliano and Calvi Noale.
What is the prediction for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
Our pick is Conegliano to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
On our numbers Conegliano have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Calvi Noale 15%.
How many goals will there be in Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
Our predicted score is Conegliano 1–0 Calvi Noale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
Conegliano vs Calvi Noale (Serie D Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio comunale Narciso Soldan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vigasio2
Adriese2
Treviso0