Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSD Casatese to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceUSD Casatese or draw ✗84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Sondrio vs USD Casatese preview and prediction
The match
Sondrio host USD Casatese in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Coni Castellina.
Form guide
Sondrio's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Chievo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
USD Casatese's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Brusaporto 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
USD Casatese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Sondrio and 1.8 for USD Casatese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was USD Casatese to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sondrio 0–1 USD Casatese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sondrio16%fair 6.26 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.55
USD Casatese65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
2.60Expected goals
0.75Sondrio xG
1.85USD Casatese xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sondrio 0.8 – 1.8 USD Casatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USD Casatese to win✗
65%
1.54
1.83 ▲
Double chance
USD Casatese or draw✗
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
USD Casatese ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.28
–
Form
Sondrio – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
@ Chievo
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Pavia
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Leon Monza e Brianza
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
USD Casatese – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
vs Brusaporto
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Real Calepina
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sondrio and USD Casatese.
What is the prediction for Sondrio vs USD Casatese?
Our pick is USD Casatese to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sondrio vs USD Casatese?
On our numbers Sondrio have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and USD Casatese 65%.
How many goals will there be in Sondrio vs USD Casatese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sondrio vs USD Casatese?
Our predicted score is Sondrio 0–1 USD Casatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sondrio vs USD Casatese?
Sondrio vs USD Casatese (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Coni Castellina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Villa Valle0
Pavia0
Brusaporto0
Leon Monza e Brianza1
Oltrepò0
Milan II1