Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Valle to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceVilla Valle or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Villa Valle vs Pavia preview and prediction
The match
Pavia travel to Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT) to face Villa Valle.
Form guide
Villa Valle's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Leon Monza e Brianza 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pavia's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Varesina 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Villa Valle and 0.7 for Pavia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Valle 66%, draw 19%, Pavia 15%.
Safer route: Villa Valle or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villa Valle to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villa Valle 1–0 Pavia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Valle66%fair 1.51 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Pavia15%fair 6.79 · @4.00
2.62Expected goals
1.89Villa Valle xG
0.73Pavia xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Villa Valle 1.9 – 0.7 Pavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Valle to win✗
66%
1.51
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Villa Valle or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Villa Valle ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Valle / FT Villa Valle✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Villa Valle – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Leon Monza e Brianza
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Vogherese
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Castellanzese
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pavia – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
vs Varesina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Sondrio
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Valle and Pavia.
Our pick is Villa Valle to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Villa Valle vs Pavia?
On our numbers Villa Valle have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pavia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Valle vs Pavia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Valle vs Pavia?
Our predicted score is Villa Valle 1–0 Pavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Villa Valle vs Pavia?
Villa Valle vs Pavia (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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