Value bet: Oltrepò to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaldiero Terme to win ✗39% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò preview and prediction
The match
Oltrepò travel to Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini in the Serie D Girone B on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT) to face Caldiero Terme.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Caldiero Terme and 1.0 for Oltrepò. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caldiero Terme 39%, draw 25%, Oltrepò 37%.
Value angle: Oltrepò to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 75% chance. Predicted score: Caldiero Terme 1–0 Oltrepò. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caldiero Terme39%fair 2.58 · @2.23
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
Oltrepò37%fair 2.73 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.08Caldiero Terme xG
1.04Oltrepò xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Caldiero Terme 1.1 – 1.0 Oltrepò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldiero Terme to win✗
39%
2.58
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
Caldiero Terme – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Milan II
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Scanzorosciate
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oltrepò – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldiero Terme and Oltrepò.
What is the prediction for Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance.
Who will win Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò?
On our numbers Caldiero Terme have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oltrepò 37%.
How many goals will there be in Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò?
Our predicted score is Caldiero Terme 1–0 Oltrepò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò?
Caldiero Terme vs Oltrepò (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pavia1
Varesina1
Breno0
USD Casatese1
Sondrio0
Castellanzese1
Vogherese0