Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Pavia vs Varesina preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Pavia take on Varesina on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Pietro Fortunati.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Pavia and 1.2 for Varesina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pavia 39%, draw 24%, Varesina 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 76% chance. Predicted score: Pavia 1–0 Varesina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pavia39%fair 2.55 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.25
Varesina37%fair 2.71 · @2.79
2.50Expected goals
1.27Pavia xG
1.23Varesina xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Pavia 1.3 – 1.2 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pavia to win✗
39%
2.55
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pavia / FT Pavia✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Form
Pavia – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Sondrio
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Brusaporto
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Scanzorosciate
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pavia and Varesina.
On our numbers Pavia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Varesina 37%.
How many goals will there be in Pavia vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pavia vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Pavia 1–0 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pavia vs Varesina?
Pavia vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Fortunati.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo0
Real Calepina2
Scanzorosciate3
Breno0
Leon Monza e Brianza1
Villa Valle2
USD Casatese1
Brusaporto1
Chievo1
Sondrio0
Castellanzese1
Vogherese0
Caldiero Terme2
Oltrepò4