Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Valenzana to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChisola to win ✓38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.68
Valenzana vs Chisola preview and prediction
The match
Chisola travel to Stadio Comunale in the Serie D Girone A on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT) to face Valenzana. Valenzana are 17th with 6 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Chisola sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valenzana's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Cairese 0–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chisola's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Gozzano 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Valenzana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Valenzana and 1.2 for Chisola. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Valenzana to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Valenzana 1–1 Chisola. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenzana37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Chisola38%fair 2.62 · @2.30
2.33Expected goals
1.15Valenzana xG
1.18Chisola xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Valenzana 1.1 – 1.2 Chisola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chisola to win✓
38%
2.62
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chisola / FT Chisola✓
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
Valenzana – last 6
LWWWLW
26 Apr
@ Cairese
0–4
L
19 Apr
vs Lavagnese
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Città di Varese
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Ligorna
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Vado
1–6
L
1 Mar
@ Club Milano
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chisola – last 6
LLLDDW
19 Apr
@ Gozzano
2–3
L
2 Apr
@ Vado
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Sestri Levante
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Saluzzo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Imperia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Celle Varazze
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenzana and Chisola.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Valenzana vs Chisola?
On our numbers Valenzana have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chisola 38%.
How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Chisola?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Chisola?
Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–1 Chisola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Valenzana vs Chisola?
Valenzana vs Chisola (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
NovaRomentin1
Club Milano4