The Serie D Girone A sees Ligorna take on NovaRomentin on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Form guide
Ligorna's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Asti 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
NovaRomentin's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Vado 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 3.7 conceded.
Ligorna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Ligorna and 0.8 for NovaRomentin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ligorna 2–0 NovaRomentin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ligorna67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @4.00
NovaRomentin11%fair 9.23 · @6.60
2.85Expected goals
2.09Ligorna xG
0.76NovaRomentin xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ligorna 2.1 – 0.8 NovaRomentin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ligorna to win✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Ligorna or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
Ligorna ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ligorna / FT Ligorna✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.88
–
Form
Ligorna – last 6
DWDLWD
26 Apr
@ Asti
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Biellese
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Cairese
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Valenzana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Lavagnese
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Vado
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
NovaRomentin – last 6
LLLLLW
26 Apr
vs Vado
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Club Milano
1–6
L
2 Apr
@ Sestri Levante
2–5
L
22 Mar
@ Saluzzo
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Sanremese
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ Celle Varazze
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ligorna and NovaRomentin.
What is the prediction for Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
On our numbers Ligorna have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NovaRomentin 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Our predicted score is Ligorna 2–0 NovaRomentin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ligorna vs NovaRomentin?
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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