Barbastro vs Castellón II Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarbastro to win ✓64% · @1.80

Double chanceBarbastro or draw ✓85% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.54

Barbastro vs Castellón II preview and prediction

The match

The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Barbastro take on Castellón II on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Deportes.

Form guide

Barbastro's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Torrent 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Castellón II's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Olot 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Barbastro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Barbastro and 0.8 for Castellón II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Barbastro 64%, draw 21%, Castellón II 15%.
Safer route: Barbastro or draw (85%) at 1.18.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Barbastro to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barbastro 1–0 Castellón II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Barbastro64%fair 1.56 · @1.80

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40

Castellón II15%fair 6.58 · @3.80

2.83Expected goals

1.99Barbastro xG

0.84Castellón II xG

49%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%

2–012%

1–110%

2–110%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Barbastro 2.0 – 0.8 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Barbastro to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Barbastro or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.96	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.46	–
Half-time result	Barbastro ahead at half-time ✓	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Barbastro / FT Barbastro ✓	41%	2.43	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.54	–

Form

Barbastro – last 6

WWLDWW

19 Apr	@ Torrent	2–1	W
12 Apr	vs Porreres	2–0	W
5 Apr	@ Olot	0–1	L
29 Mar	vs Espanyol II	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Andratx	3–0	W
8 Mar	@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Castellón II – last 6

DLLLDD

12 Apr	vs Olot	1–1	D
1 Apr	@ Torrent	0–1	L
29 Mar	vs Porreres	1–3	L
14 Mar	vs Sant Andreu	1–2	L
8 Mar	@ Andratx	1–1	D
25 Feb	vs Barcelona B	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Ucam Murcia	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Intercity	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Poblense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	-5	13
13	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
17	Valencia II	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	-6	7

Team

Pts

+11

+10

-1

-3

-5

-3

-2

-8

-10

-5

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Our pick is Barbastro to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Barbastro vs Castellón II?

On our numbers Barbastro have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Castellón II 15%.

How many goals will there be in Barbastro vs Castellón II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Our predicted score is Barbastro 1–0 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Barbastro vs Castellón II?

Barbastro vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Deportes.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Barbastro