Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcoyano to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.15
Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Alcoyano take on Sant Andreu on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Collao.
Form guide
Alcoyano's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Andratx 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sant Andreu's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Poblense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sant Andreu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Alcoyano and 0.6 for Sant Andreu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcoyano 62%, draw 22%, Sant Andreu 16%.
Safer route: Alcoyano or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alcoyano to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–0 Sant Andreu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.10
Sant Andreu16%fair 6.08 · @4.80
2.02Expected goals
1.46Alcoyano xG
0.56Sant Andreu xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.5 – 0.6 Sant Andreu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.15
–
Form
Alcoyano – last 6
DWWWDW
19 Apr
@ Andratx
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Torrent
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Girona II
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Espanyol II
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Reddis
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sant Andreu – last 6
WWWWWW
5 Apr
vs Poblense
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Atlético Baleares
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Espanyol II
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Sant Andreu.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu?
Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sant Andreu 16%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Sant Andreu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu?
Alcoyano vs Sant Andreu (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.