Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSant Andreu to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Sant Andreu vs Poblense preview and prediction
The match
Sant Andreu host Poblense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Camp Municipal Narcís Sala.
Form guide
Sant Andreu's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Atlético Baleares 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Poblense's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Andratx 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sant Andreu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Sant Andreu and 0.7 for Poblense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sant Andreu 56%, draw 22%, Poblense 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sant Andreu to win – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sant Andreu 1–0 Poblense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sant Andreu56%fair 1.78 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.00
Poblense22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
2.12Expected goals
1.40Sant Andreu xG
0.72Poblense xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sant Andreu 1.4 – 0.7 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sant Andreu to win✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sant Andreu / FT Sant Andreu✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Sant Andreu – last 6
WWWWWW
22 Mar
vs Atlético Baleares
2–0
W
14 Mar
@ Castellón II
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Espanyol II
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Atlètic Lleida
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Andratx
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
DDLWDD
29 Mar
vs Andratx
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Espanyol II
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Reddis
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Atlético Baleares
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Valencia II
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sant Andreu and Poblense.
What is the prediction for Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Our pick is Sant Andreu to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
On our numbers Sant Andreu have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Poblense 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Sant Andreu 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sant Andreu vs Poblense?
Sant Andreu vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp Municipal Narcís Sala.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlètic Lleida1
Porreres1
Barcelona B5
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1
Torrent2
Reddis2
Andratx5
Olot1
Barbastro0