Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 5 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultAlcoyano to win ✓47% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.38

Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano preview and prediction

The match

Atlètic Lleida host Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.

Form guide

Atlètic Lleida's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Reddis 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Alcoyano's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Torrent 4–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Alcoyano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Atlètic Lleida and 1.2 for Alcoyano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Atlètic Lleida 29%, draw 24%, Alcoyano 47%.
Value angle: Alcoyano to win at 2.25 – 47% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Alcoyano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Atlètic Lleida29%fair 3.45 · @3.10

Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.85

Alcoyano47%fair 2.11 · @2.25

2.03Expected goals

0.84Atlètic Lleida xG

1.19Alcoyano xG

41%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–116%

0–013%

1–113%

1–011%

0–29%

1–28%

From our goals model: Atlètic Lleida 0.8 – 1.2 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Alcoyano to win ✓	47%	2.11	2.25 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano ✓	25%	3.95	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	16%	6.38	–

Form

Atlètic Lleida – last 6

WDLLLD

29 Mar	@ Reddis	1–0	W
22 Mar	vs Valencia II	1–1	D
15 Mar	@ Atlético Baleares	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs Poblense	1–2	L
1 Mar	@ Sant Andreu	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Barbastro	3–3	D

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Alcoyano – last 6

WWDWWD

29 Mar	vs Torrent	4–1	W
22 Mar	@ Girona II	1–0	W
15 Mar	vs Espanyol II	1–1	D
8 Mar	@ Reddis	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Atlético Baleares	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Ucam Murcia	10	6	1	3	+11	19
3	Castellón II	9	6	0	3	+10	18
4	Castellonense	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	La Nucía	9	5	0	4	+1	15
6	Cieza	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Alcoyano	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Lorca Deportiva	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Intercity	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Atlético Baleares	10	3	4	3	0	13
11	Poblense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Orihuela	10	3	4	3	-5	13
13	Mallorca II	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Yeclano	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Real Murcia II	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Elche II	9	2	2	5	-10	8
17	Valencia II	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Peña Deportiva	10	2	1	7	-6	7

Team

Pts

+11

+10

-1

-3

-5

-3

-2

-8

-10

-5

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?

On our numbers Atlètic Lleida have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alcoyano 47%.

How many goals will there be in Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?

Our predicted score is Atlètic Lleida 1–1 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano?

Atlètic Lleida vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Camp d'Esports de Lleida.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Atlètic Lleida