Value bet: Hebar 1918 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHebar 1918 to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918 preview and prediction
The match
The Second League sees Pirin Blagoevgrad take on Hebar 1918 on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Hristo Botev. Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Hebar 1918 sit 6th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pirin Blagoevgrad's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Hebar 1918's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Belasitsa 4–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Hebar 1918 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 1.3 for Hebar 1918. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Hebar 1918 to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad38%fair 2.62 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Hebar 191838%fair 2.62 · @2.88
2.65Expected goals
1.32Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.33Hebar 1918 xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.3 – 1.3 Hebar 1918 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebar 1918 to win✗
38%
2.62
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hebar 1918 / FT Hebar 1918✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Form
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 6
LWLLDW
9 Apr
@ Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Belasitsa
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Vihren
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hebar 1918 – last 3
WWW
9 Apr
vs Belasitsa
4–3
W
21 Feb
@ FK Minyor Pernik
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Yantra 2019
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Hebar 1918.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hebar 1918 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–1 Hebar 1918, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Hebar 1918 (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
