Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFratria to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceFratria or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Spartak Pleven vs Fratria preview and prediction
The match
Fratria travel to Stadion Pleven in the Second League on Thursday 16 April (15:00 WAT) to face Spartak Pleven. Spartak Pleven are 10th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Fratria sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Spartak Pleven's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Sevlievo 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fratria's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Spartak Pleven and 1.7 for Fratria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fratria to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Spartak Pleven 0–1 Fratria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Pleven19%fair 5.39 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Fratria60%fair 1.67 · @1.57
2.57Expected goals
0.83Spartak Pleven xG
1.74Fratria xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Spartak Pleven 0.8 – 1.7 Fratria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fratria to win✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Double chance
Fratria or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fratria / FT Fratria✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Spartak Pleven – last 5
WDWDL
9 Apr
@ Sevlievo
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Marek
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Belasitsa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Dunav Ruse
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Fratria – last 6
WDDLWD
9 Apr
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
3–0
W
23 Mar
@ Yantra 2019
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Ludogorets II
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Sevlievo
1–4
L
28 Feb
@ Sportist Svoge
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Marek
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Pleven and Fratria.
What is the prediction for Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
Our pick is Fratria to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
On our numbers Spartak Pleven have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fratria 60%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
Our predicted score is Spartak Pleven 0–1 Fratria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Pleven vs Fratria?
Spartak Pleven vs Fratria (Second League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pleven.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
