Value bet: Vihren to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVihren to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren preview and prediction
The match
Pirin Blagoevgrad host Vihren in the Second League on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Hristo Botev. Pirin Blagoevgrad are 18th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Vihren sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pirin Blagoevgrad's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia II 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vihren's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Belasitsa 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vihren arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Pirin Blagoevgrad and 1.5 for Vihren. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Vihren to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Vihren. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pirin Blagoevgrad38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Vihren39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.89Expected goals
1.43Pirin Blagoevgrad xG
1.45Vihren xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.4 – 1.5 Vihren expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vihren to win✓
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vihren / FT Vihren✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
Pirin Blagoevgrad – last 3
LDW
9 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia II
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Spartak Pleven
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Vihren – last 4
WDWD
7 Mar
vs Belasitsa
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dunav Ruse
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Ludogorets II
3–1
W
16 Feb
vs CSKA Sofia II
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pirin Blagoevgrad and Vihren.
What is the prediction for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
On our numbers Pirin Blagoevgrad have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vihren 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Our predicted score is Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–2 Vihren, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren?
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Vihren (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
