Value bet: CSKA Sofia II to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChernomorets 1919 Burgas to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II preview and prediction
The match
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas host CSKA Sofia II in the Second League on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while CSKA Sofia II sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CSKA Sofia II's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Pirin Blagoevgrad 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and 1.1 for CSKA Sofia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 42%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia II 34%.
Value angle: CSKA Sofia II to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1–1 CSKA Sofia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
CSKA Sofia II34%fair 2.95 · @3.60
2.45Expected goals
1.31Chernomorets 1919 Burgas xG
1.15CSKA Sofia II xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1.3 – 1.1 CSKA Sofia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas to win✓
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas / FT Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – last 2
DD
28 Feb
vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs FK Minyor Pernik
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CSKA Sofia II – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Belasitsa
6–2
W
16 Feb
@ Vihren
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets 1919 Burgas and CSKA Sofia II.
What is the prediction for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II?
On our numbers Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSKA Sofia II 34%.
How many goals will there be in Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II?
Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1–1 CSKA Sofia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II?
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas vs CSKA Sofia II (Second League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
