Value bet: Ludogorets to win @ 1.60 – our chance 68% vs 63% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✗88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Arda Kardzhali take on Ludogorets on Wednesday 15 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Arena Arda. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ludogorets's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Cherno More Varna 0–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Arda Kardzhali and 1.8 for Ludogorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Value angle: Ludogorets to win at 1.60 – 68% on our numbers against 63% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali12%fair 8.65 · @5.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Ludogorets68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
2.41Expected goals
0.58Arda Kardzhali xG
1.83Ludogorets xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
0–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 0.6 – 1.8 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ludogorets to win✗
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Ludogorets or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Ludogorets ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
LWWWDW
9 Apr
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Montana
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Septemvri Sofia
4–1
W
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ludogorets – last 6
DWWWWD
9 Apr
vs Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs CSKA 1948
3–0
W
19 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
5–1
W
9 Mar
@ Montana
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arda Kardzhali and Ludogorets.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ludogorets 68%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets?
Arda Kardzhali vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
