Value bet: Cherno More Varna to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Cherno More Varna take on CSKA 1948 on Wednesday 15 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Ticha. Cherno More Varna are 9th with 13 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CSKA 1948 sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cherno More Varna's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Ludogorets 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA 1948's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Botev Vratsa 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CSKA 1948 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Cherno More Varna and 1.2 for CSKA 1948. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Cherno More Varna to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cherno More Varna 1–1 CSKA 1948. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cherno More Varna41%fair 2.46 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
CSKA 194835%fair 2.83 · @2.45
2.43Expected goals
1.27Cherno More Varna xG
1.16CSKA 1948 xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.3 – 1.2 CSKA 1948 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✗
41%
2.46
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Cherno More Varna – last 6
DLWDDD
9 Apr
@ Ludogorets
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Slavia Sofia
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CSKA 1948 – last 6
WLWDWW
10 Apr
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ludogorets
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5–0
W
27 Feb
@ Slavia Sofia
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherno More Varna and CSKA 1948.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA 1948 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 CSKA 1948, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ticha.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
