Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Slavia Sofia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSlavia Sofia to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceSlavia Sofia or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Montana vs Slavia Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Slavia Sofia travel to Ogosta Stadium in the First League on Thursday 16 April (17:30 WAT) to face Montana.
Form guide
Montana's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Slavia Sofia's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Septemvri Sofia 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Slavia Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Montana and 1.6 for Slavia Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montana 20%, draw 20%, Slavia Sofia 60%.
Safer route: Slavia Sofia or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Slavia Sofia to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Slavia Sofia or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Montana 0–1 Slavia Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montana20%fair 5.10 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
2.40Expected goals
0.77Montana xG
1.63Slavia Sofia xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Montana 0.8 – 1.6 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Slavia Sofia to win✗
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Slavia Sofia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Slavia Sofia / FT Slavia Sofia✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Montana – last 6
LLLLLL
8 Apr
vs CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Beroe
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 6
LWLDWW
10 Apr
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Cherno More Varna
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Slavia Sofia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Montana have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Slavia Sofia 60%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Montana 0–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Slavia Sofia?
Montana vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
