Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓67% · @1.33
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
Levski Sofia host Arda Kardzhali in the First League on Thursday 9 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. Levski Sofia are 2nd with 32 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Levski Sofia's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Dobrudzha 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Montana 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Levski Sofia and 0.6 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levski Sofia 67%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levski Sofia67%fair 1.48 · @1.33
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.10
Arda Kardzhali9%fair 11.64 · @9.50
2.55Expected goals
1.95Levski Sofia xG
0.60Arda Kardzhali xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.9 – 0.6 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
67%
1.48
1.33
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Levski Sofia – last 6
DWWLWW
5 Apr
@ Dobrudzha
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Beroe
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 6
WWWDWD
4 Apr
vs Montana
2–1
W
21 Mar
@ Septemvri Sofia
4–1
W
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arda Kardzhali 9%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–0 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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