Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLevski Sofia to win68% · @1.40
Double chanceLevski Sofia or draw87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.24
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Levski Sofia take on Cherno More Varna on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov. Levski Sofia are 2nd with 32 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Levski Sofia's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Beroe 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cherno More Varna's last 4: WDDD Most recently they beat Montana 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Levski Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Levski Sofia and 0.6 for Cherno More Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levski Sofia 68%, draw 19%, Cherno More Varna 13%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 1–0 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levski Sofia68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
Cherno More Varna13%fair 7.78 · @8.25
2.43Expected goals
1.83Levski Sofia xG
0.61Cherno More Varna xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.8 – 0.6 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Levski Sofia or draw
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.94
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Levski Sofia ahead at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.24
–
Form
Levski Sofia – last 6
WWLWWW
15 Mar
@ Beroe
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
W
5 Mar
@ Ludogorets
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
4–3
W
22 Feb
@ CSKA 1948
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cherno More Varna – last 4
WDDD
15 Mar
vs Montana
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Cherno More Varna.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cherno More Varna 13%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Levski Sofia vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
