Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Septemvri Sofia take on Arda Kardzhali on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Stadion Dragalevtsi. Septemvri Sofia are 12th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Arda Kardzhali sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Septemvri Sofia's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Sofia 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Arda Kardzhali's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Dobrudzha 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arda Kardzhali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Septemvri Sofia and 1.6 for Arda Kardzhali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Septemvri Sofia 18%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 57%.
Safer route: Arda Kardzhali or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Septemvri Sofia18%fair 5.71 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.25
Arda Kardzhali57%fair 1.75 · @1.80
2.39Expected goals
0.78Septemvri Sofia xG
1.61Arda Kardzhali xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Septemvri Sofia 0.8 – 1.6 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arda Kardzhali to win✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Double chance
Arda Kardzhali or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Septemvri Sofia – last 4
LLLW
17 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Botev Plovdiv
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Arda Kardzhali – last 4
WDWD
16 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Beroe
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali.
What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Septemvri Sofia have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arda Kardzhali 57%.
How many goals will there be in Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Dragalevtsi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
