Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotev Vratsa to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Botev Vratsa take on Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Hristo Botev Stadium. Botev Vratsa are 13th with 10 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Botev Vratsa's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Botev Vratsa and 0.9 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Botev Vratsa 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Vratsa46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Lokomotiv Plovdiv31%fair 3.20 · @3.20
2.06Expected goals
1.18Botev Vratsa xG
0.88Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Botev Vratsa 1.2 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Vratsa to win✗
46%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Vratsa / FT Botev Vratsa✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Botev Vratsa – last 4
LDDD
4 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Beroe
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cherno More Varna
0–0
D
16 Feb
vs Dobrudzha
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6
WLLDDD
13 Mar
vs Septemvri Sofia
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs CSKA 1948
0–5
L
2 Mar
@ Ludogorets
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Spartak Varna
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Cherno More Varna
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Vratsa and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Vratsa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Vratsa 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Hristo Botev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana0
Beroe1
Dobrudzha0