Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Montana to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontana to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceMontana or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Montana vs Beroe preview and prediction
The match
Beroe travel to Ogosta Stadium in the First League on Sunday 22 March (11:30 WAT) to face Montana.
Form guide
Montana's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Cherno More Varna 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Beroe's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Montana and 0.6 for Beroe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Montana 61%, draw 24%, Beroe 15%.
Safer route: Montana or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Montana to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Montana or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Montana 1–0 Beroe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montana61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Beroe15%fair 6.88 · @3.60
2.25Expected goals
1.61Montana xG
0.64Beroe xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Montana 1.6 – 0.6 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montana to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Montana or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montana / FT Montana✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Form
Montana – last 6
LLLDLL
15 Mar
@ Cherno More Varna
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Ludogorets
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Spartak Varna
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Septemvri Sofia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 6
LLLDDL
15 Mar
vs Levski Sofia
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Dobrudzha
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montana and Beroe.
Our pick is Montana or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Montana vs Beroe?
On our numbers Montana have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Beroe 15%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–0 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Beroe?
Montana vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSKA Sofia2
Dobrudzha0
Botev Vratsa1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv2