Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Lokomotiv Sofia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Lokomotiv Sofia take on Slavia Sofia on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Lokomotiv. Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Slavia Sofia sit 8th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to CSKA Sofia 0–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Slavia Sofia's last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Spartak Varna 4–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Slavia Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Lokomotiv Sofia and 0.7 for Slavia Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv Sofia 64%, draw 23%, Slavia Sofia 13%.
Safer route: Lokomotiv Sofia or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lokomotiv Sofia to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–0 Slavia Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv Sofia64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Slavia Sofia13%fair 7.46 · @3.80
2.52Expected goals
1.82Lokomotiv Sofia xG
0.70Slavia Sofia xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.8 – 0.7 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv Sofia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv Sofia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Lokomotiv Sofia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia✗
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Form
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 4
LWLD
8 Mar
@ CSKA Sofia
0–2
L
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Slavia Sofia – last 4
WWLL
6 Mar
vs Spartak Varna
4–0
W
3 Mar
@ Beroe
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs CSKA 1948
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ CSKA Sofia
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Sofia and Slavia Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Our pick is Lokomotiv Sofia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Slavia Sofia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–0 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.