CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees CSKA Sofia take on Lokomotiv Sofia on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 16:45 (WAT) at National Stadium Vasil Levski. CSKA Sofia are 1st with 34 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lokomotiv Sofia's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Dobrudzha 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for CSKA Sofia and 0.7 for Lokomotiv Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Sofia 66%, draw 20%, Lokomotiv Sofia 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CSKA Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Sofia66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.10
Lokomotiv Sofia14%fair 6.95 · @6.75
2.52Expected goals
1.83CSKA Sofia xG
0.68Lokomotiv Sofia xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.8 – 0.7 Lokomotiv Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Sofia to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
CSKA Sofia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
CSKA Sofia ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Sofia / FT CSKA Sofia✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.76
–
Form
CSKA Sofia – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Slavia Sofia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv Sofia – last 3
WLD
5 Mar
vs Dobrudzha
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Levski Sofia
3–4
L
13 Feb
@ Spartak Varna
2–2
D
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Lokomotiv Sofia.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lokomotiv Sofia 14%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–0 Lokomotiv Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha1
Beroe0