Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Dobrudzha to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDobrudzha to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceDobrudzha or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.12
Dobrudzha vs Beroe preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Dobrudzha take on Beroe on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 11:45 (WAT) at Stadion Spartak.
Form guide
Dobrudzha's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv Sofia 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beroe's last 4: LDDL Most recently they lost to Slavia Sofia 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dobrudzha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Dobrudzha and 0.7 for Beroe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dobrudzha 61%, draw 24%, Beroe 15%.
Safer route: Dobrudzha or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Dobrudzha to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dobrudzha 1–0 Beroe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dobrudzha61%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.20
Beroe15%fair 6.71 · @3.95
2.30Expected goals
1.64Dobrudzha xG
0.67Beroe xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dobrudzha 1.6 – 0.7 Beroe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dobrudzha to win✓
61%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Dobrudzha or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dobrudzha / FT Dobrudzha✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.12
–
Form
Dobrudzha – last 3
LWD
5 Mar
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Beroe – last 4
LDDL
3 Mar
vs Slavia Sofia
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dobrudzha and Beroe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dobrudzha vs Beroe?
On our numbers Dobrudzha have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Beroe 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dobrudzha vs Beroe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dobrudzha vs Beroe?
Our predicted score is Dobrudzha 1–0 Beroe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Dobrudzha vs Beroe?
Dobrudzha vs Beroe (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
CSKA 19480
Botev Plovdiv0
CSKA Sofia2
Lokomotiv Sofia0