Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The First League sees Botev Plovdiv take on Septemvri Sofia on Tuesday 3 March, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadion Hristo Botev. Botev Plovdiv are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Septemvri Sofia sit 12th on 11 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Botev Plovdiv's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Montana 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.8 for Septemvri Sofia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Botev Plovdiv 66%, draw 20%, Septemvri Sofia 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botev Plovdiv66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.95
Septemvri Sofia14%fair 7.36 · @7.40
2.80Expected goals
2.01Botev Plovdiv xG
0.79Septemvri Sofia xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 2.0 – 0.8 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Plovdiv to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Botev Plovdiv or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Botev Plovdiv ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
12%
8.16
–
Form
Botev Plovdiv – last 3
DWL
27 Feb
@ Montana
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Ludogorets
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Levski Sofia
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 1
W
16 Feb
vs Montana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botev Plovdiv and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Montana0
Beroe0